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Kentucky Favored to Win SEC, Tennessee Closing In

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  Published in Sports and Competition on Friday, January 9th 2026 at 9:48 GMT by ESPN

SEC: Kentucky Still the Team to Beat, But Volunteers Closing the Gap

Our mid-season prediction remains unchanged: Kentucky is favored to win the SEC. The Wildcats boast a roster brimming with elite talent and are benefiting from strong coaching that emphasizes both offensive dynamism and defensive resilience. They've demonstrated the ability to win both at home and on the road, a critical ingredient for a conference championship run. However, Tennessee is proving to be a formidable threat. The Volunteers' disciplined approach, gritty defense, and emerging offensive capabilities make them a genuine contender. While Alabama and Auburn possess explosive potential, their inconsistency remains a concern. To truly challenge Kentucky, both will need to demonstrate a higher level of sustained performance throughout the remainder of the season. The key factor in the SEC will be how teams perform in the intensely competitive closing weeks, with several matchups likely to decide the ultimate champion.

Big Ten: Purdue's Edey Dominance Fuels Championship Aspirations

The Purdue Boilermakers remain the frontrunners in the Big Ten, largely due to the continued dominance of center Zach Edey. His size, skill, and impact on both ends of the court are undeniable, creating constant mismatches for opposing defenses. Purdue's supporting cast is also solidifying, providing the necessary shooting and ball-handling to complement Edey's inside presence. However, Illinois is surging and posing a serious challenge. The Illini's balanced attack and improving perimeter shooting make them a difficult matchup for anyone. Their ability to consistently win on the road against top competition will be the determining factor in their championship hopes. Michigan State and Northwestern continue to be dark horses, showcasing impressive defensive schemes and veteran leadership. The Big Ten, traditionally a physical and defensively oriented conference, will likely be decided by which team can consistently execute in crucial moments.

Big 12: Houston Maintains Top Spot Despite Kansas' Resilience

Houston continues to assert its dominance in the Big 12. The Cougars are a complete team, excelling in both offensive efficiency and defensive intensity. Their depth and experience give them a distinct advantage in a conference known for its grueling schedule. Despite a few early-season hiccups, Kansas remains a significant threat. The Jayhawks' pedigree, coaching prowess, and ability to overcome adversity make them a perennial contender. However, they'll need to limit turnovers and improve their consistency against tough opponents. The Big 12 is arguably the most competitive conference in the nation, with multiple teams capable of making a deep tournament run. Baylor and Texas are also teams to watch, adding to the chaotic nature of the conference standings.

ACC: North Carolina's Rebirth Positions Them for Success

North Carolina is demonstrating a renewed sense of purpose this season, and are currently predicted as the ACC champions. Armando Bacot's dominant interior play is a cornerstone of their success, while improved perimeter shooting and a more cohesive team dynamic have elevated their overall performance. The primary challenger to North Carolina's reign will be Duke. While young, Duke possesses immense talent and is rapidly improving with each game. Their offensive firepower and athleticism make them a dangerous opponent. Florida State and Clemson have the potential to disrupt the top of the standings, but will need to string together consistent wins against quality opponents. The ACC's emphasis on athletic play and individual talent will make for exciting and unpredictable contests throughout the remainder of the season.

Big East: UConn Remains the Team to Beat, But Creighton is Close Behind

UConn remains the clear favorite in the Big East. Their deep and talented roster, combined with a well-balanced offensive and defensive approach, has established them as a national powerhouse. They consistently demonstrate the ability to control the tempo and dictate the game. However, Creighton is breathing down their necks. The Bluejays are a close second, possessing a strong offensive attack and a competitive spirit. To truly challenge UConn, they'll need to address their rebounding weaknesses and improve their consistency on the road. Marquette and Xavier are also in the mix, demonstrating flashes of brilliance but lacking the overall consistency to seriously contend for the championship. The Big East's competitive balance ensures that every game will be a hard-fought battle.